View Single Post
Old 01-19-2005, 18:37 PM   #9 (permalink)
Officer of Engineers
Military Professional
Moderator
Scotch taster
 
Join Date: 08-06-03
Posts: 16,546
Country:
Sir,

The question that came to mind is that would Cold Start solve alot of problems for the InA vis-a-vi Pakistan and the Chain-of-Command problems in New Dehli. In essence, from my understanding is that speed would be the weapon to which to defeat both Pakistan and New Dehli's reluctance to carry out the actions to its logical conclusions.

Well, what if the InA moved too fast? What if the InA can destroy an entire Pakistani division within 24 hours? What if the InA then openned the road all the way to Islamabad?

That's the essence of any military action. It's got to be fast. It's got to be bold. It's got to be decisive. And that is precisely Cold Start's danger for India. If the action is as decisive as I'm thinking Cold Start is aiming for, then the Pakistani nuclear threshold is lowered. If there is nothing standing between an Indian army and Islamabad, then they will put nukes into place.

Well, Sir, looking at past Chinese actions, a symbolic gesture might stemmed the tide. It's not that the Pakistanis cannot rushed troops into place but putting Chinese troops into place now raises the stakes but also rises the nuclear threshold.

And it is completely symbolic, the 15ABC is essentially light infantry comprising of three parachute divisions, each comprising of three parachute regts with a light guns regt. (ref - PLA 15th Airborne Corps). It would not be able to withstand a truly combined arms formation. Though the 15ABC has deployed at the regt level (two regts were sent to Tibet on a deployment exercise), they are essentially trained on a company level, very few at the battlion, and none at regt or division (forget about corps).

Also, note the political aspects of this. With a single deployment, the Chinese had quashed a nuke threat, and score alot of brownie points with the Pakistanis and against India. Would the InA now crosses the Chinese tripwire?
__________________
Chimo
Officer of Engineers is offline