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Originally Posted by kuku
How massive will this movement be in terms of opposing forces surveillance lighting up?
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Anybody not asleep should noticed it. It would take a minimum of two years to move that many missiles.
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Originally Posted by kuku
What will be the status of the operational nuclear warheads on both the sides in such a scenario? (in terms of being loaded on available missiles and ready for launch.)
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As of right now, China is assumed to have 200 operational warheads and India around 120.
There is another issue not considered here. Available nukes in other forms. We do not know if the Chinese are keeping nukes in component form, ie all the parts are there and they just have to put them together but another 100 warheads would be extremely easy for the Chinese to keep around.
Now, let's talk about putting the factories out to full capacity. The Chinese can add 300 warheads a year. They've got the fissile materials already.
And let's face it, they've already got the missiles.
India? She will be lucky if she can get the fissile materials for 5.
Thinking this through, I do not think that this will add to the American-Japanese-Russian unease at all. Going back through my notes, at one time, China was assumed to have 1000 warheads with the longest time, she was assumed to have 300-700 warheads with around 400 to be average assumption. In other words, we have lived with the thought of a larger number of Chinese nukes before.
In short, I see no way for India to shift the strategic balance in her favour. None. The Chinese have a way too much of a head start. They have the working weapons factories. They have 4 SSBNs (1 experimental, 1 operational, 1 on trials, and 1 near completion). They have an operational ABM system. The size of their fissible stock dwarf even India's wildest dreams. And they have the rockets just waiting for nukes.
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Originally Posted by kuku
What will be the ability of the surveillance platforms (radars) looking into the oppositions territory to pick up missile launches for such missiles?
I assume that to have any sort of a ABM shield you need to pick up the launch of the ballistic missiles first?
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The interceptors will have to be launched-on-warning.
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Originally Posted by kuku
What will be the response in such a situation, will the defence forces wait for the warheads to explode and see if they are nuclear or conventional or pass on orders to launch the available missiles while they still have time? or will the time available be too short to do anything about it?
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All nuclear powers have a nuclear launch-on-impact doctrine. It is too dangerous to do anything else.
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Originally Posted by kuku
Damn thinking of these things makes me feel really weird (scared).
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Welcome to my world. The job of nuclear weaponeers is to burn babies alive.