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Old 05-14-2008, 09:26 AM   #61 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by zraver View Post
If India goes forward and develops a capable ABM system and the means to deploy it opposite China then all of a sudden the only thing protecting China from an Indian first strike is India's NFU policy. And that policy isn't worth the paper its printed on in the eyes of the CCP. They will judge India's intent by what they would do.
Z,

I don't see how Indian ABMs would be a challenge for Chinese SLBMs. Since the Chinese can choose their launch sites at will and at the last minute, Indian ABMs would be physically out of orientation to provide intercept. The short reaction time would make it near impossible for the Indians to re-orient their interceptors.
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