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Old 04-25-2008, 17:54 PM   #19 (permalink)
Zemco
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Join Date: 03-26-08
Posts: 57
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spongegod View Post
Or will it turn into another Iraq? Another Vietnam? America isn't at Cold War levels anymore...they can't even handle Iraq...how will they take down Iran?
It's fairly straight forward. The attacks on alleged nuclear weapons facilities will be diversions to conceal the real target, the oil and natural gas rich province of Khuzehstan.

Phase I (3 Hours)

Extra-Theater Air - B-2 and B-117 aircraft will attack alleged nuclear weapons facilities at Arak, Nantaz and Esfahan as a diversion, effectively pinning some Iranian air units in the north to protect Tabriz, Tehran and other facilities and sites. Other B-2 and B-117 aircraft will attack primary airfields in southern Iran to prevent air squadrons from deploying to their forward operating bases. B-2s will target C2 and power generation facilities while B-52s launch cruise missiles at other targets.

In-Theater Air - Iraqi based F-16s and F-15s will conduct CAPs along the Iraqi-Iranian border, while Kuwaiti based units conduct the first 16 of 32 sorties in the Zagros Mountains against bridges and road passes. Additional sorties assisted by special operations units will target Iranian recon units on the Iraqi-Kuwaiti border units who perform a function similar if not identical to the 2nd ACR, 11th ACR, 16/5 Lancers and others in the old "1 k Zone."

Carrier 1 - Primary mission is air cover for ground operations. SEAD missions will eliminate air defenses while F-18s attack the barracks where most if not all Iranian troops will be asleep at 0330 (zulu). The 2 straight leg infantry divisions, the tank division and the mechanized infantry division will be essentially rendered combat ineffective in a matter of minutes.

Carrier 2 - Primary missions is SEAD and air superiority.

Carrier 3 (Arabian Sea) - Primary missions is SEAD, air superiority and attacks on forward operating bases and C2 targets.

Group 1 - Supporting ground forces in Khuzehstan will launch cruise missiles at ammunition storage areas and fuel depots reducing combat by Iranian forces in the province to less than 30 days maximum, and attack other ground based threats.

Groups 2 & 3 - Launching cruise missile attacks on shore based anti-ship batteries, air defense units and Iranian naval vessels in their area.

French carrier group/British surface group - Seek and destroy Iranian naval vessels, shore-based anti-ship missile batteries, air defense units and protect civilian shipping in the Persian Gulf.

ARG 1 - a marine division will be airlifted to the eastern approaches as a blocking force. A marine amphibious brigade will establish and secure a beach-head to bring their armor, artillery and air defense ashore.

ARG 2 - a marine division will be airlifted to secure the only 2 bridges crossing the Karun River. The MAB will land and secure the port facilities.

Army Group - 5 brigade combat teams will race across the border to link up with the marine division and begin river crossing operations.

Phase II (6 Hours)

Extra-Theater Air - Continued attacks will degrade Iranian and and ground units in the operational area.

In-Theater Air - CAP continues and the remaining 16 sorties in the Zagros Mountains are completed. Now the only way into Khuzehstan Province to reinforce or resupply whatever remains of Iranian ground forces is through the eastern approaches, a very narrow area where Iranian units can be cannalized and destroyed en masse quickly with little effort.

Carrier 1 - Guided by special operations units, F-18s continue attacking the hapless Iranian units as survivors of the initial attack attempt to marshal and organize. Destruction of division supply trains, ammunition and fuel depots reduces the fighting time to a maximum of 15 days.

Carrier 2 - Continues air superiority.

Carrier 3 (Arabian Sea) - Continues air superiority and attacks on targets of opportunity.

Groups 1, 2 & 3 - Continues with air defense, destruction of remaining Iranian naval vessels and shore based threats.

French carrier group/British surface group - Seek and destroy Iranian naval vessels, shore-based anti-ship missile batteries, air defense units and protect civilian shipping in the Persian Gulf.

Ground Forces - Having completed the river crossing, now move to close with and destroy remaining Iranian army and militia units.

From that point it's more of the same. The US will have a clear view of any Iranian units who would foolishly attempt to move north along the coastal roads or south from Tabriz/Tehran and enter the province. It would be like the Highway of Death (x 100).

The US will claim "mission accomplished" with end of the "nuclear weapons threat" and the security of Iraq enhanced with the Revolutionary Guard militias degraded/destroyed. It will claim it was necessary to invade Khuzehstan to prevent disruption of oil and natural gas supplies.

The province has 80% of Iran's oil and 4% of the world's oil, and too bad for the Japanese and Chinese since all of it will now be sold in US$ which will help prop up the sagging US$ against other currencies, especially the Euro.

Iran will have only the 20% of its oil (1% of the world's oil) in the provinces of West Azir and East Azir bordering Azerbaijan. Iran will overnight change from a net exporter of oil to a net importer of oil, and with the loss of oil and natural gas revenues from Khuzehstan, Iran's economy will collapse as it won't be able to pay the monthly salaries to the government and military, and will be forced to cut back its massive monthly social welfare payments for food stamps/subsidies, health care, rent and unemployment benefits.

The beautiful thing is that the US can promise the Kurds, Lors, Baluchs and others that if they rise up against the government, the US will support them. And just like Iraq, they will fall for the US bullsh*t hook, line and sinker and rise up and the US will do nothing but laugh while a few hundred thousand Iranian Kurds, Lors and Baluchs are slaughtered, then the US will claim a "No-Fly Zone" is needed and the US, UK and France will set up airbases in Iranian Kurdistan and Baluchistan so that the US can maintain a presence in Iran for an indefinite period until a more opportune time presents itself for the US to invade and effect regime change, unless a friendly regime comes to power before sometime along the way (and that was the US game plan in Iraq and it worked so there's no reason to believe it won't work a second time).

As far as Khuzehstan, those are not Persians, they're Arabs. You might be asking WTF? What are Arabs doing in Iran? Well, you'd have to have a seance to discuss that with the drunken fat slob pig Churchill, since he drew the borders.

90% of the population in Khuzehstan are Arabic tribes and clans whose blood kin are in Kuwait and Iraq. They have attempted 14 times in the last 100 years to break free from Iran, most recently during the 1979 "revolution" and again during the Iraq-Iran War. They would view the US as liberators, at least initially. Leave it to an idiot ivy school graduate to screw things up, but the best thing for the US would be to allow a referendum to see if the Arabs want to unite with Kuwait, unite with Iraq (or both), or form their own country.
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