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Old 04-22-2008, 20:40 PM   #42 (permalink)
Herodotus
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Let me give you the basics. In February of 1979, the PLA launched a 200,000 man invasion of Vietnam in what Beijing described as a counter-attack by local forces to teach Vietnam a lesson. In 30 days of combat, the PLA burned 3 Provincial Capitals while suffering 30,000 casualties. They claimed to have inflicted 50,000 Vietnamese casualties. After the fall of Lang Soon, the last Vietnamese Provincial Capital, the PLA began retreat across back to their border. In 30 days, the Chinese lost 30,000 troops with nothing to show for it.
So you are basing what the PLA will do today on what they did 30 years ago? 30 years ago even the US military could not withstand the tide of Vietnamese nationalism that was sweeping the Indochina peninsula. The Vietnamese hated and still hate the Chinese more than they ever did the French or the Americans.

We could go back further in Chinese history for even more military defeats; the First Sino-Japanese War, the Sino-French War, the Opium Wars. But is that going to be any indication how the PLA, with modernization, better training, and weapons upgrades is going to fight today? I wouldn't bet on it.

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I actually don't doubt the CCP's ability to muster a large "military force" (i.e. volunteers) in the event of an invasion of the homeland, however, I seriously doubt many of those "Soldiers" will hold their ground, let alone stick it out beyond the first engagement. Just speculation though. Never have been in combat, nor the military.
That's what some people said about the Iraqis (we will be greeted as liberators). Would the Chinese be less determined to fight for their homeland? Chinese history tells us they would at least fight, the First Opium War lasted eleven years and all China lost was Hong Kong. So why would they not fight against an invasion of the motherland.
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