Quote:
Originally Posted by lwarmonger
But not in North Carolina or most of the other states... popular votewise it will still probably be about even or a little in Obama's favor.
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I believe she's favored in Indiana, West Virginia, Puerto Rico for sure. Kentucky may favor her as well. She won Tennessee.
If you add the delegate totals for those four states, that's 207 delegates.
Obama will probably win Montana, Guam, North Carolina, and South Dakota, which total 202 delegates. I infer from the similar delegate totals the two voting blocs have nearly the same population and would cancel each other out.
Polls I've taken a look at seem to indicate that Hillary may have a chance of closing some of the vote gap in North Carolina (biggest Obama favored state left), I don't think he'll win it by the margins Hillary will win her races.
In the post-Pennsylvania race, I see the popular vote breaking down evenly, perhaps even breaking a little toward Hillary.
Hillary adds the Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Florida margins to that. She needs to close a 700,000 vote margin, most of it in those states. Ohio delivered her 230,000 votes. I see those three delivering similar margins... Florida's first primary netted her 300,000 votes.