Quote:
Originally Posted by Ironduke
Obama, in my estimation, would be especially weak in Florida having wanting the original results to not count in the first place, and vacillating about a revote as well. In Michigan the whole NAFTAgate issue will come back to haunt him (as it assuredly will in Pennsylvania as well).
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I don't think Obama suffers in Florida or Michigan just because he played by the rules in bypassing their primaries. And I don't blame him for being a little hesitant to support a late reprieve by letting those states to hold a primary afterall. I can see Clinton agitating for the primaries. She's got nothing to lose and everything to gain.
But let's look at it from Obama's POV. All the candidates develop an early strategy for winning the delegates they need to get nominated. If their party has decreed that two state primaries will not be recognized, candidates intending to honor the party's decision will factor that into their strategy. Thus, all of their effort will be directed at legitimate primaries. Time passes. Now it's near the end of the primary campaign and one candidate's strategy has succeeded. He is ahead in the delegate count and close to having a lead the second best candidate cannot overcome. But wait. Forces in the party urged on by a governor in the other party want now to let those two states have a primary afterall. Whoa. You mean after executing a successful strategy while honoring his party's earlier wishes, the leading candidate must now be confronted with 2 unexpected primaries. Well, if I were number 2 like Clinton I'd be all for it. It's probably my only chance to close the delegate lead. And if I were the republican governor of Florida I'd be all for it too, because if Clinton is the candidate, McCain stands a good chance of winning. The stench coming from the dem party leadership is overwhelming. I take Obama's side in this, although as a republican I'd love to see Clinton pull off this thievery. The dems are close to self-destructing
again.