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Old 02-17-2008, 06:08 AM   #19 (permalink)
Stan187
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Originally Posted by citanon View Post
Well, so far it's worked to rouse another round of anti-Israel saber rattling from Iran and Hezbollah. It may also make Hezbollah more dependent on Syrian planning and intelligence now that one of their key tactical thinkers are gone.

Finally, the Syrians have a far closer view of the internal workings of Hezbollah and other terror groups in the region than outside observers like us. They could be maneuvering for reasons that are not apparent due to our ignorance.
Why remove someone who is so successful? It doesn't add up, if they wanted a casus belli for some saber rattling, they already got plenty of it, it doesn't take much. Even if they wanted to kill someone to do this, why not kill someone who is less useful? They won't go that far to fool anyone, in a cost benefit analysis, they are not going to waste their best operational commander over having an excuses to slightly increase tensions. Hizballah doesn't barely use Syrian planning and intelligence in comparison to what they get from the Iranians. Syrian sponsorship brings no technical expertise. It is in fact the other way around, considering the Syrians tried as best they could to integrate lessons learned from Hizballah. He was an operational thinking more so than a tactical one.

I'll believe they're maneuvering around forces and dynamics we've completely missed when someone brings some proof of that. There also COULD be aliens at Area 51, there COULD be a lot of things, but we have to with the given.
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