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Originally Posted by Zinja
But sir, what if you are dealing with irrational people who do not believe in the sanctity of human life? What if they believe that such action will advance the advent of a Mahdi? Or you hate another race so much you want to see them suffer anywhere?
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Israel can hit Mecca with nuclear weapons. Israel can kill much of Iran's population. Iranian leadership
may not be rational, but even irrational men can realize that nuking the Israeli's without having the ability to guarantee their destruction isn't worth it.
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Looking at how Ahmedinajad glorifies self death "President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said here Saturday that Iranian and Muslim women have willingly and freely chosen the path to dignity and attaining lofty aspirations and goals....Speaking of women and martyrdom is speaking of the most beautiful and the best things, though it is very difficult, noted the president."
President: Iranian, Muslim women willingly chose path to dignity - Irna
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I think that you will find the Iranian leadership, when facing the prospect of annihilation, will be a little less eager to use atomic weapons. It would be one thing if both sides had a massive deterrent force, or if neither side had a significant number of weapons. But Iran won't catch up to Israel for quite some time even if they do develop nuclear weapons in the near future.
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I don't think Iran would dare do that. If/when they decide to use something like a nuke against Israel, i think it would be only upon decision of a full scale confrontation with Israel, i dont think they would delegate that to Hizbollah or any of its proxies. The reason i say that is a nuclear detonation in Israel by any of its proxies would not shield Iran from a full retaliation directly on the soil of Iran itself. Iran will be sure of either being enhilated or enhilate the next day.
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Not necessarily. Iran may hope that arab nations absorb most of that first strike. Or they may have elements of their Revolutionary Guard smuggle a primitive device in (perhaps trying to blame Syria or Egypt), and hope that someone else is implicated. It offers the best chance of Iran getting off lightly in any case.
And I'm not saying it is a likely scenario, but I see it as more likely than Iran initiating an all out nuclear exchange.