Quote:
Originally Posted by gunnut
Ah, very good sir.
My dad is of the opinion that ROCA might put up at most a token defense and then give up like ARVN.
|
I think the ROCA will give a hell of a defense, partly because it means a lot more than it did in '49. Between the period that they fled to now, the population is much more patriotic than they were 50 some odd years before. In truth, if China wanted to invade Taiwan, they cold very well do it, but the cost of doing so would most likely deter them from trying. If Taiwan is going down, they will go down hard.
Not to mention, it is incredibly hard to make an amphibious landing on the coast. They PLA would hit the coast, which is difficult in the first place, (Who was it that said have you seen the defenses they have) then they would immediately hit mountains, and I do mean mountains. Not to mention, the entire coastline seems to be geared for defense, (I'm currently visiting Taiwan, so my memory of the coast is pretty fresh). I was along the eastern coast, and I specifically remembered identifying how it seems every bit of the land between the coast and the mountains could easily be adapted for defense. If D-day is considered a difficult landing, landing on Taiwan would be hell.