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Captain Stephen Miles, aka Desperado 6, is of the opinion that the RoCA would fold like a deck of cards. His reasoning is that the Taiwanese MOD has issued statements to the belief that they cannot win. In their last exercise, they've stated the best the PLA can do is a Pyhrric victory ... meaning that the PLA can win, not exactly the kind of message you want to send to the troops.
The one thing the RoCA is lacking is leadership. They're not geared for war. They're not prepared for war. After some 50 years of peace, there is a belief that if the PLA has not come, they're not coming at all. Military competence has given way to poltical stooges in the RoCA.
Despite all of this, this does not mean that there will not be a fight. Capt Miles have pointed the way. The fight will be on the beaches. Nothing gains confidence like victory. Nothing smashes morale like defeat. If the PLA manages to penetrate the beaches, then I suspect the RoCA will collapse. There is no one of true leadership skills in the RoCA. Unlike the PLA who has Generals Cao and Bao.
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Chimo
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