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Old 11-06-2007, 22:12 PM   #13 (permalink)
lwarmonger
Military Professional
 
Join Date: 02-08-05
Posts: 1,784
Quote:
Originally Posted by VarSity View Post
There doesn't seem to be that much Iran could do about it, or even much they could do in response. Sure they could try starting even more trouble in Iraq, but even that assumed the Revo guard re left in a good shape. In my mind, any attack again Iran's nuclear facilities will also involve a heavy pounding of the Revolutionary Guard. That way would have to focus all their efforts on keeping control within their boarders, and not causing trouble.
Given how the Iranians have dispersed their nuclear sites, it is doubtful that Israel could manage an effective attack against them (sans nukes), much less a simultanious strike against the Revolutionary Guard.

Also, launching an unsuccessful attack of that nature means that when the first Iranian nuke does detonate, it happens in downtown Tel Aviv... not some test site out in the desert. If the Iranians can generate enough doubts about culpability, they might not even have to ride out a full scale Israeli counterstrike (at least not one directed entirely at them).
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