Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray
John,
Nationalism and subnationalism (or tribal identity, if you wish) seems to be on the rise in Asia and Africa.
What is your slot regarding pan Islamism (the ummah and the Caliphate) in this world map?
What about Tibet?
What is the slot for the US and the European civilisation in this matrix?
|
Tibet is going to be a small concern for China and India and will be one of the minor reasons I think India will be more Western Oriented than Chinese oriented. It will not be a major point of rivalry.
Nationalism in smaller African countries is a very small problem comparing to huge ones we will see in my opinion. I mean it in Africa.
Asia will not see as much fragmentation as Africa may see but it faces a few unsolved problems. One that is right on the top of the pile is Kurdistan. Another is falling apart Pakistan. Certain problems remain in Central Asia. And finally Caucasus mountains regions as a whole is a huge ethnic problem.