Quote:
Originally Posted by astralis
bluesman,
theoretical question at this point, because it hasn't happened, and in any case i am honestly not sure about the answer.
what happens if in the pursuit of the first, the second is set back?
or vice-versa?
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An EXCELLENT question, and it has been an unknown how the vast majority of Iranians would react to an outright attack on the regime.
Personally, I think that the mass of ethnic Persions WOULD rally to the only nationalist answer available: the mullahs. BUT...
Our hope would be for the fracture of Iran as a monolithic whole into the huge ethnic problems they've managed to keep the lid on by repression. I think that it is very likely that Iran, riven as it is by identity politics, would not be capable of a truly united effort to hold itself together.
But this is simply a secondary question, because what we know, past any sort of a doubt, is that an unmolested Iran WILL proceed in a linear fashion straight to nuclear weaponry.
And whatever difficulties there may be to the only viable solution to that problem there is can only be cosidered of secondary importance.