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Originally Posted by markaspen
Blackclaw wrote:
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Then again, there's a good chance they will do foolish things anyway. You have to look at the track record here.
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Think about it. What has Iran done externally thats been so off the wall?
I'm not saying they've done good things, but its all been calculated: assisting the Mujahadeen, arming Hezbollah, all the other places they've stuck their beards. But it hasn't been loose cannon or mad dog stuff.
There's no doubt Israel or someone else could take out the reactor(s), but the Iranians have more recourse to avenge it than Iraq did in 1981. Osirak was a calculated move with little downside beyond the diplomatic, I don't hink thats the case with Iran.
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My worry is that the theocratic rule of Iran may be nearing an end and while that is a good thing, its turmoil could have grave consequences. There is increasing pressure on the Iranian clerics to step down and let Iran become a true democracy. Folks who are in danger of losing control can be very dangerous, doubly so when they are religious fanatics.
The Iranian nuclear project should never have been allowed to go this far. This is a bad time to deal with it. We should have made ourselves perfectly clear with the Russians years ago and acted as needed.