Quote:
Originally Posted by kmchugh
So, in the 2008 election, here’s how I see it shaking out: Hillary will make a strong run, but in the end, her past as well as the perceptions the electorate have of her will kill her. Whitewater, Travelgate, and other scandals will dog her candidacy. If my suspicions are correct, and the Republicans have proof of any past misdeeds, these will come out and might even kill her career as a senator. In that event, Clinton would have been better off never running for the presidency. She could have at least had some influence on national policy as a senator from New York. As a disgraced politician, she will be shunned even by those she now considers to be her closest friends and advisors.
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I think that's a plausible scenario. Hillary (unlike her husband) is the most polarizing figure in the race. Hence, the divide for dems largely falls between those who want to elect a proven liberal in Hillary (even though she isn't), or someone who won't elicit such revulsion from the other half of the country, and therefore be easier to elect, too.
Also, from the democratic perspective, Giuliani would elicit a similar uprising among opposition voters. He outraged many NY liberals when he instituted quasi-fascist police techniques while mayor of NY (and presumed to credit them when crime in his city fell in step, even though crime in the whole country fell similarly during the time), enjoyed a buddy-buddy relationship with G-dub since 9/11, and more than anything, he's made 9/11 a political tool for his personal gain (google: debate ron paul giuliani). I think this outrage may fall under the radar a bit, but rest assured my conservative WAB comrades, Giuliani would not be a wise choice. However, Thompson or McCain would be, but I don't see either of them winning the nomination. McCain's out of money, and he took a serious hit in popularity with his support of the last two immigration reform proposals (scoring points among dems in the process), and Thompson is too late. I predict Thompson falls flat on his face in living up to the gargantuan hype shrouding his candidacy. He's out of practice