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Old 08-15-2007, 20:53 PM   #68 (permalink)
Zinja
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Join Date: 06-12-07
Posts: 147
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray View Post
It sure is disturbing for western powers to find that Iran is seeking a greater more involved role in the SCO and both Russia and China being vague and yet hinting that such an eventuality may come to pass.

Indeed, if it does, the area (CAR) and its oil and gas resources will be lost to the influence of the western powers, apart from being able to monitor Russian and Chinese from this area.
So far Russia and China deny that SCO is a millitary bloc - at least officially. I had predicted that this is going to change withing 5-10 yrs, it seems this might even be sooner. With the talk about changing the rules, it is clear that the intentions of SCO are still yet to be clear. This is laying base for a full fledged bloc with declared intentions. This will be evidenced by a new name and admittance of new member states, lets just wait and see.

Allowing Iran though will be a gross misjudgement for the bloc. I just can't think how China & Russia could explain that to the international community since Iran is under sunctions. Moreover, soon the Iranian Revolutional Guard is likely to be classified as a terrorist organisation by the US, it would be difficult for the pact to work around all these obstacles. I would say Mongolia has more chances of joining the pact than Iran.

Last edited by Zinja : 08-16-2007 at 19:50 PM.
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