World Affairs Board - View Single Post - Let's keep an eye on the up-coming Russian-China military Exercise

Zinja · 08-14-2007, 21:50 PM

So the Warsaw pact is dead, in comes the SCO!

This exercise is very pregnant with speachless messages, it will be interesting what the full report of the whole exercise will reveal.

However, i can't help commenting on a few issues here. Why has mongolia been left out as an observer around member states? Iran obviously relishes to be part of this pact but raising Iran's profile would be counter productive internationally. But, what about India? Whilst China may not favour the inclusion of India due to the rivalry but this can present an opportunity for the 2 to mend with each other. At the same time Pak is an observer as well, inclusion of any of these two or both for that matter would be very complicating. This SCO pact is going to be very interesting indeed.

I notice also that Gen Motenskoi mentioned combarting separatists as one of the functions of the pact, does Russia have 'separatists' problems of their own? Or is he indicating willingness to be involved in the other countries' 'separatists' problems? If this is infered in any way, i can't help wondering how far they are really willing to go and what else is meant in what was not said. But then again they denied trying to form a millitary bloc.

I am not very well versed with international millitary laws, what was Gen Zhu meaning when he was talking about the ligality of the exercise. Why was he so quick to emphasise the point, it seemed like a comment out of the blue for me.

And oh, does anyone know why they called off the air drops? Whilst it is easy to ascribe this to unpreparedness (or inability for that matter) of China, could it be that its maybe a case of unwillingness to reavel the colour of one's underwear. OoE alluded that these countries may be 'checking' each other out.

I can't help also noting the publicity of this exercise, it seems the SCO is really asserting itself. I predict that this pact is probably going to evolve its name withing the next 5-10 years to adopt a name that is more fitting to its purposes, as the pact's objectives become clearer. I wouldn't be surprised if we will be talking of a more than 6 states pact then.

08-14-2007, 21:50 PM	#62 (permalink)
Zinja Patron Join Date: 06-12-07 Posts: 169	So the Warsaw pact is dead, in comes the SCO! This exercise is very pregnant with speachless messages, it will be interesting what the full report of the whole exercise will reveal. However, i can't help commenting on a few issues here. Why has mongolia been left out as an observer around member states? Iran obviously relishes to be part of this pact but raising Iran's profile would be counter productive internationally. But, what about India? Whilst China may not favour the inclusion of India due to the rivalry but this can present an opportunity for the 2 to mend with each other. At the same time Pak is an observer as well, inclusion of any of these two or both for that matter would be very complicating. This SCO pact is going to be very interesting indeed. I notice also that Gen Motenskoi mentioned combarting separatists as one of the functions of the pact, does Russia have 'separatists' problems of their own? Or is he indicating willingness to be involved in the other countries' 'separatists' problems? If this is infered in any way, i can't help wondering how far they are really willing to go and what else is meant in what was not said. But then again they denied trying to form a millitary bloc. I am not very well versed with international millitary laws, what was Gen Zhu meaning when he was talking about the ligality of the exercise. Why was he so quick to emphasise the point, it seemed like a comment out of the blue for me. And oh, does anyone know why they called off the air drops? Whilst it is easy to ascribe this to unpreparedness (or inability for that matter) of China, could it be that its maybe a case of unwillingness to reavel the colour of one's underwear. OoE alluded that these countries may be 'checking' each other out. I can't help also noting the publicity of this exercise, it seems the SCO is really asserting itself. I predict that this pact is probably going to evolve its name withing the next 5-10 years to adopt a name that is more fitting to its purposes, as the pact's objectives become clearer. I wouldn't be surprised if we will be talking of a more than 6 states pact then. Last edited by Zinja : 08-14-2007 at 22:03 PM.