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Old 05-02-2007, 08:47 AM   #33 (permalink)
wp2000
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Archer View Post
I fail to see how the PLAAF will be able to match the JSDAF unless the latter allows it to happen. Do you guys seriously think that a MLU of the massive Japanese fleet with AESA and Amraam-7/8's is out of the question? I think not. Frankly, the PLAAF is not such a threat right now, that the Japanese have to take immediate cogniscance of, and with AESA/AMRAAM F-15s with upgraded E3s- they'd still be a far sight better than N001 equipped Sks and Mkks with PL-12s and with the KJ-2000.
How will PLAAF match JSDAF? 800 J10+J11/Flankers by the end of 2012. Would that be enough for JSDAF to think carefully?

What should JSDAF do accordingly is the question of this thread.

You are right to say that JSDAF can simply upgrade or buy F15 with AESA/AIM120C7 etc to counter current PLAAF.

But, as I said above, JSDAF used to enjoy complete dominance in east asia's sky. Before mid 90s, PLAAF/PLANAF were non-existent to JSDAF. Do you think JSDAF still has such huge lead against PLAAF now? More importantly, with those upgraded F15s and F2s, do you really think JSDAF will re-gain their huge lead in the next 10 years?

Obviously, JSDAF does not want to give up their lead so easily and they want to keep it against PLAAF in the next decade, that's why they want F22.

So, the most important thing is the trend, the dynamics, not the static snap shot of the current situation, that worries Japan and Taiwan.
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