Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeng_xinren
Why can't more people wish peace instead of war?
|
Because it is still a tenet in the CCP manifesto and the PLA is tasked with taking back Taiwan with force. Regardless if the CCP decides to use force or not, the PLA generals have a job to do and that is to prepare to take back Taiwan.
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by astralis
on a more serious note, however, do you see anything in the balance (discounting for a second the possibility of US intervention) significantly changing in the next 15-20 years?
|
I cannot see past 10 years. Within the next 10 years, no. Simply because the capital purchase budgets have already been allocated. I can say with certainty that we will not see an operational carrier nor 5 SSBN force.
At the start of their next procurement cycle, however, is a complete mystery to me. I'm not sure how comfortable they would be or how many lessons would be learned for them to begin expansion.
Case in point is the Light Mechanized Regiment experiment. Just looking at the exercises, I can tell they're making mistakes. Mistakes that they should not have been making in the 1st place. ATVs instead of jeeps and trucks is just asking for a disaster.