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I don't think it was fear of causalties. That sounds like CYA. The whole thing reeks of overconfidence. We didn't know they'd use ATGMs vs houses (you should have thier goal is to kill jews not tanks), we doidn't know they'd fire so many in a volley (you should have thats really the only way to kill heavy armor with Russian missiles, and they just want to kill Jews)
The way they moved into Lebanon like it was going to be a pinic, and thier post battle excuses all point towards a serious case of overconfidence.
I agree that in winning the battle Hezzbollah may have lost the war. I think Israel is busy at work developing ways to make round 2 go thier way in a big way.
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