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Old 09-10-2006, 18:04 PM   #45 (permalink)
astralis
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Astralis, since my machine went down and I lost my correspondence files I’m unable to point this out to you, so I’ll eat my words (gag…sorry lol!)
If I understand you right, you mean that this tinpot demagogue might not carry through on what he has said, I tend to disagree.
So far he has carried through on what he has said, the on going crackdown case in point.
If ( And that is a big IF!) if he and Iran is allowed to go nuclear, then there is no certainty he won’t carry through on his intimation to remove Israel from the face of the world.
To date his words and deeds have not given much credence to him being pragmatic enough to back down, and even if he is, then the hatred and xenophobia he has whipped up in the extremist factions of his followers might not let him.
in regards to this, given his actions- and those of the mullahs controlling him- they certainly have demonstrated a knowledge that even having nukes, let alone USING nukes, will bring them quite a bit of pain, courtesy of the US. (again, why negotiate if totally nutters?)

in short, they know that using nukes is suicidal, both for them, their regime, and probably the iranian populace as a whole. they might hate the US and israel, sure, but do they hate them enough to turn their nation into glass for it? or perhaps still more importantly, does the iranian populace see it that way?

i would argue, hardly so. the iran of today is rather different from the iran of 1979. if the iranians knew that their leaders were about to turn their whole nations, their very families, into subatomic particles to fulfill their xenophobic hatreds towards US/israel, i am fairly sure that in a short amount of time, the leaders will be hanging from lamp-posts.

just taking a look at one measure, a-jad's promise to pay the families of suicide bombers in the palestinian territories. despite the measly sums (for a state) involved, it's one heck of an unpopular measure in iran, with people grumbling, "why are we giving OUR money to the arabs?"
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