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Originally Posted by Officer of Engineers
I really think the Israelis fell into the trap of overconfidence in airpower. If the eval is correct (and I see no reason why to dispute it), Hezbollah was an Iranian division and the IsDF did not even mobilize their ground forces until way late into the game ... and these were not your ready-to-go forces but the reserves.
And from the videos, it would seemed that most fights were meeting engagements with tanks stumbling onto ATGM nests without the benefit of infantry. It was sloppy, as if they have not planned this out.
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Colonel, the assessments I have seen agree with you completely.
One good thing though, there is no more ambiguity whatsoever regarding Hezbolllah and Iranian and Syrian involvement- Russian ATGM's with Syrian delivery markings were recovered intact, the Iranian anti-shipping missile that was used to attack the Israeli warship, etc.
It's now crystal clear to everyone that Hezbolllah is an Iranian/Syrian proxy army operating in Lebanon.
I think it's also clear already that Lebanon has no intention of disarming Hezbollah, regardless of what the cease-fire agreement says, as per public statememts made yesterday by the Lebanese Foreign Minister to one of the news wires.
I have exactly zero confidence in the so-called "peacekeeping force", that it will even get deployed at all.
IMO Israel really screwed the pooch in accepting the terms. It made heroes out of Hezbollah to the Arab world.
It was a huge PR victory for Hezbollah and Iran/Syria. The media just eats this stuff up, Reuters phony photos, etc.
This pic says it all...