Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Bluesman
He stated very clearly what it is: to 'break' Hamas and Hezbollah, and I think he means it.
|
"Break Hizbollah"? Fine. How? To do that they need to occupy the whole country, Hizbollah is a gurellia entity, can't be destroyed from a far. And where exactly will they find the troops, to occupy Lebanon? Back in 1982, Sharon used the Christian thugs as an auxillery on the ground. They don't exist anymore.
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Bluesman
HUNDREDS of Qassams and dozens of Katyushas fired...less than a dozen Israelis killed. Would that be the reality if there had been no evacuation?
I don't know why you say they were evac'ed for nothing. I can see the point quite clearly.
|
The fact they had to be evacuated at all. Going in with a whole division was probably the cause of all those Qassams and Katyushas being fired (from the Leb) in the first place was it not? If Olmert come back sans the two soldiers and with Hizb strenghtened,then certainly the evacuations would have been for nothing.
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Bluesman
You sure 'bout dat?  It may be EXACTLY what Israel wants. This could be show-down time, and Israel may have made the calculation that Assad will not survive any Syrian intervention politically, possibly even physically. Assad either makes the decision to go down fighting, or to back down as his proxies are slaughtered. Personally, I call that li'l dilemma 'being cornered'.
Well, we'll see how it plays out, but I don't think the Israeli leadership is as strategically retarded as you do. I believe YOU may be missing it; I can see the rationale clearly. |
Well lets see. Syria gets involved, then thats a war on
three fronts. Add to that, a
long war on three fronts, not the short sharp conflicts that Israel fights so well. And if you remember a long war on multiple fronts was exactly what traditionally Israeli thinking has sought to avoid.
As for being strategically "retarded", well Sharon in 1982 went all the way to Beruit against the advice of the General Staff (nor I might add telling Cabinat). Looks like Olmert has doen the same.