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Originally Posted by -{SpoonmaN}-
I wouldn't be worried for a good 20 years yet. It maybe sooner that the PLA-N can threaten the USN in Chinese local waters, but I still wouldn't bet on it.
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In your reference, of Chinese local waters, did you mean 5 miles off the coast? If so, they already can. However, the USN would never venture that close to the coast. Doing so would be considered sucide.