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Old 01-20-2006, 16:44 PM   #25 (permalink)
lwarmonger
Military Professional
 
Join Date: 02-08-05
Posts: 1,784
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Originally Posted by troung
With who and what? The MKO lacks credibility in Iran and we are wonderfully linked with them (they lack popular support). Plus using terrorism on Iran could blow up in our face.
Concur. The current regime is far more entrenched than the Shah ever dreamt of being.

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I don't like the line of reasoning of an Iranian nuclear umbrella for AQ. I know that is not what I qouted. If I where a Sunni extermist terrorist group I would just push Mush off and use Pakistan rather then the distant long shot that Iran would give me a nuclear umbrella. And looking at Iraq and what happened in Afghanistan it is not likely that Iran would protect AQ.
With a successful coup now, Pakistan would most likely descend into even more chaos than it is in already. Not a reliable nuclear umbrella, even if the extremists form the strongest group.

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On another hand I doubt Iran would like to keep living with the risk of a nuclear armed Pakistan, Israel, Russia, America and India.
Would they rather get nuked by one of the aforementioned nations?

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So we want to push sectarian voilence?
A divided and warring Iran is an Iran that isn't going to be focusing on developing nuclear weapons.

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We might just be better sending money through expats to student groups in the hopes they get killed on camera...
Also a workeable plan.... although I'm not sure we can really get much more support than we have already. Nations like Russia and China, who oppose doing anything against Iran (at least that is the way they are acting), are unlikely to be concerned about a few dead protestors, even if they do die on camera.
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