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Emanuel's research doesn't go back prior to 1949. I understand his concern that proper data didn't exist prior, but that means that it doesn't account fully for the cyclical nature of the ocean currents. Therefore, his conclusions are not very robust and can be quite misleading if this is not taken into account.
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"So little pains do the vulgar take in the investigation of truth, accepting readily the first story that comes to hand." Thucydides 1.20.3
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