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1) You'd need a sustained air campaign to be sure, and the Israelis can't mount that.
2) When the Israelis launched their raid on Osirak, the Iraqis were embroiled with their war against Iran. The Iraqi air force was caught completely flat footed because they were looking (quite naturally) to the east. That is not the case for Iran.
3) Syria supported Iran against Iraq during the Iran-Iraq war. Syria would not support Israel against Iran however, and any air strike through their territory is likely to be met either on the way there or the way back.
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