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Originally Posted by Commando
Say the air strikes fail and Israel does not want to use nukes:
Could Israel successfully occupy Iran?
Is Israel stronger than Iran?
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Realistically Israel can not use nukes in a pre-emptive strike and kill millions of Iranians. If it does so it is simply doomed.
On the other side they can not let somebody strike pre-emptivelly them.... so they need a creadible retaliation weapons. The German subs which they have are serving this role. They can attack Iran with cruise missiles with nuclear warheads. Probably Israel needs few times more than what they have......
In this case nuclear attack against Israel will be suisidal.
Israel has no rights nor means to occupy Iran...... They are smart and they will never even think of this. Anyway:
this would be a clear act of agreesion and it will meet a lot of opposition worldwide, while Israel is very dependent on Europe and USA, and foreign trade. Israel will see even new democratic Iraq fighting them together with other arabs.... even an attempt for such an invation would lead to big and bloody war...
It is simply not feasible. Israel has no logistical possibility to fight anywhere where there is no border with them directly..... Israelly army is not mobile enough. Another issue is that Israel does not have enough army to fight Iran on its own territory. For this war to be a fast blitzcreig Israel has no platzdarm to launch fast war.... It will also need a lot of army on its own borders to prevent attacks from other arabs.
Israel would need to get permission from Russia before that..... if it does not then Russia would be supplying Iran with weapons accross the Casian.... even US could not hold that in Vietnam.
Israel will surelly bomb Iran in 2006 or 2007..... however it must then do it regularly...... Uranium mines in Iran can not be terminated.... even if bombed heavily. So it is matter of time when Iran gets its first bomb. Ofcause bombing may delay that.... but will not solve the issue - if Iran wants it, it will get it.
There is one thing that Israel can do and is probably doing - obtaining large scale retaliation weapons - a large fleet of subs capable carrying nuclear warheads.