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Riiiiight. If there hasn't been civil war by now, there won't be. The Sunnis are 20% of the population, and the Shia and Kurds have 'em MASSIVELY out-gunned. Furthermore, if the country stays together, the Sunnis get a cut of the oil, which they will NOT get if the Sunnis somehow succeed in seceding.
I do not believe that the Sunnis want to give up what power and wealth they now have for some squalid squat in the slums of Baghdad and a worthless stretch of western Iraq desert that noone wants. Not only that, it would probably be the end of most Sunnis mere existence in Iraq, because the Shia and the Kurds - which are mostly Sunni - have just about had enough of their crap, and if given the excuse and the power - which they have RIGHT NOW - goodbye, losers.
They will keep doing what they have done since the invasion: whining every step of the way down the road to democratization, and accepting the inevitable: loss of their exalted position as a ruling minority.
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"The quickest way of ending a war is to lose it, and if one finds the prospect of a long war intolerable, it is natural to disbelieve in the possibility of victory."
- George Orwell
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